Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| UB Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Army (11-2) | 42 | 29 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 38 | -22.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Buffalo (10-4) | 13 | 25 | +4.0 | 36% | 16 | +22.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dreamstyle Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Liberty (6-6) | 52 | 37 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 44 | -16.0 | 90% | ✔ | |
| New Mexico (3-9) | 43 | 36 | +1.0 | 46% | 28 | +16.0 | 10% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Notre Dame Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Stanford (9-4) | 17 | 16 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 11 | +22.5 | 4% | ✔ | |
| Notre Dame (12-1) | 38 | 28 | -12.0 | 84% | 33 | -22.5 | 96% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Peden Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| UMass (4-8) | 42 | 27 | +28.0 | 2% | ✔ | 28 | +26.5 | 2% | ✔ | |
| Ohio (9-4) | 58 | 55 | -28.0 | 98% | 54 | -26.5 | 98% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Husky Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| BYU (7-6) | 7 | 13 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 0 | +36.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Washington (10-4) | 35 | 22 | -9.0 | 78% | 36 | -36.0 | 99% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.